Thursday, January 31, 2013

Armistice Ended, But Hope Increases.

New York Times 100 years ago today, January 31, 1913:
Young Turks Less Belligerent.
    LONDON, Friday, Jan, 31.— Never has a diplomatic problem seen such swift and surprising changes as the Balkan-Turkish negotiations for peace. The Young Turks, who seized the Government with shouts of defiance, have undergone a marvelous transformation. Instead of drawing the battle line at the question of surrendering. Adrianople. they offer a compromise which comes so near to meeting the Bulgarian demands that a settlement should not be impossible, and they leave the Aegean Islands to the disposition of the powers.
    The difference between what Constantinople is ready to give and what Bulgaria is ready to accept has been reduced to such small proportions that even some of the Balkan peace delegates believe that a compromise may yet be found. Constantinople now asks simply the retention of that section of Adrianople in which the holy shrines are situated. Bulgaria always meant to leave the mosques and shrines to Turkey, and even to confer the right of extra territoriality, thus giving the district something of the status of the Vatican in Rome. The vital differences between the two nations now amount merely to Turkey's demand for the shrines and the section surrounding them.
    The Thracean frontier line, therefore, with the exception of the town of Adrianople, has been practically agreed to, as Turkey is ready to leave to the powers the disposition of the land on the right bank of the Maritza River, which condition, as is known, the allies are satisfied to accept. The question of the Aegean Islands also has practically been solved, as the Porte is disposed to leave its settlement to the powers.
    Dr. Daneff, head of the Bulgarian delegation, said with reference to Turkey's reply: "It is not of a character to form the basis for fresh negotiations. We have said that the fortress of Adrianople and the Turkish islands in the Aegean Sea must be ceded, and without this the negotiations will not be resumed. Moreover, this cession must be made before hostilities are resumed, as the first shot will change our conditions."
    This, however, is simply a public statement, possibly for the purpose of exercising further pressure on Constantinople. A majority of the allies apparently trust that a compromise will be reached.
    All the powers have urged the allies to do their utmost to prevent the resumption of hostilities because of the grave complications that might otherwise arise.
    Whatever happens, the Greek Premier, M. Venizelos, will leave London to-day. He will visit friends in the country and expects to leave England to-morrow or Sunday. M. Novakovitch, head of the Servian delegation, has arranged to leave here for home in a day or two, but will return if the negotiations are resumed. Dr. Daneff will depart at the beginning of next week.
    The Ambassadorial conference will meet this morning to consider the Porte's reply.

More Mutinies Expected.
    Events are moving with such rapidity that the world may soon be confronted, not with the question of peace or war, but with a catastrophe which will lead Turkey to civil war. Those who know the Ottoman Empire believe that the revolt among the Turkish troops on the Tchatalja lines was much more grave than is to be gathered from the short dispatches allowed by the censor to trickle through. Close observers of events in Turkey expect that similar revolts will occur in the Turkish Asiatic provinces, where the elements opposing the Young Turks are stronger than in European Turkey.

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